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International Situation


Topics

  1. OPEC

  2. OAPEC

  3. National Oil Companies

  4. World Oil and Gas Resources

  5. Per Capita Energy Consumption

  6. Libya

  7. Middle East Turmoil

  8. Other Developments

  9. Resources


OPEC

OPEC is the acronym for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.  It is composed of the following eleven members: Algeria, Angola (joined on January 1, 2007), Ecuador (joined OPEC in 1973, suspended its membership from Dec. 1992-Oct. 2007), Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Venezuela.   The organization was founded in 1960 by Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela.  Its membership is limited to "any other country with a substantial net export of crude petroleum, which has fundamentally similar interests to those of member countries.

The demographics of member countries are similar yet, in some ways, very different.

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Members are from around the world - Algeria, Angola, Libya and Nigeria (Africa); Venezuela and Ecuador (South America) and Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates (Middle East)

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The Moslem belief is the dominant religion and Arabic is the principle language

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Population ranges from 700 thousand (Qatar) to 148 million (Nigeria)

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Oil reserves range from 0.7% (Angola) to 21.3% (Saudi Arabia) of world reserves

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Gas reserves range from negligible amounts (Ecuador) to 15.7% (Iran) of world reserves

OPEC holds 73% of oil and provides 43% of supply or 60% of internationally traded oil.  OPEC holds more than 48% of world�s natural gas and produces 16% of supply.  OPEC members seek prices that would provide for a healthy world economy, minimal incentives for alternative fuels, and sufficient cash flow to invest in new production facilities. 

  Please see OPEC's Annual Statistical Bulletin for a wide variety of both industry and OPEC statistical data.

 

OPEC Oil Reserves and Production*

Member** Oil Reserves
(MMB)
Oil Production
(MB/D)
Algeria 12.3 2,000
Angola 9.0 1,723
Ecuador 4.3 520
Iran 138.4 4,401
Iraq 115.0 2,145
Kuwait 101.5 2,626
Libya 41.5 1,848
Nigeria 36.2 2,356
Qatar 27.4 1,197
Saudi Arabia 264.2 10,413
United Arab Emirates 97.8 2,915
Venezuela 87.0 2,613
Total 934.7 35,204

* 2007 data

** The link will take you to the Energy Information Administration's Country Briefs for each country.

OPEC seeks to control world oil prices, but this is a very difficult undertaking.  Even though OPEC provides 43% of the world's oil, it is subject to variables that it cannot control which will influence prices.  These variables include economic growth, weather, political situations and new technologies.  OPEC attempts to influence prices by adjusting the production of individual members through output quotas. 

OPEC production ranges from 520 thousand barrels per day in Ecuador to 10.4 million barrels per day in Saudi Arabia.  Venezuela, Iran, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia account for 57% of OPEC supply. Saudi Arabia has the capacity to produce an additional 1.5 to 2 million barrels per day of oil.

If demand exceeds OPEC's forecasts, prices can rise resulting in lower economic growth and protests from consuming country governments.  If demand is less than anticipated, prices can drop resulting in lower incentives to find oil resources, reduced interests in energy conservation and increased use of fossil fuels which will contribute to global climate change.  While it might seem strange, oil producers and environmentalists would both favor higher prices --- producers obtain profits to help find more oil and grow their companies and environmentalists achieve incentives to reduce fossil fuel consumption and invest in alternate energy.

It is also naive to view OPEC as a homogeneous family where all countries share the same goals and strategies.  Although the role of the oil industry in each member country varies, OPEC members depend on oil exports to provide for income for the overall economy.  That means that these countries use oil income to build roads, hospitals and schools.  This money is also used to develop other businesses and industries.  Some of this money is also used to support internal and external political agendas and the lifestyles of governing officials and families. These member countries debate these production changes at periodic meetings and arrive at production quotas.  These quotas are only targets and OPEC has no methodology to force member countries to comply with them.  Overproduction and creative accounting have often been used to allow member countries to raise production.

OPEC's desire to control prices is also driven by a desire to have a stable income for their country.  How would you like to have your income change up and down each month?  What if your income was halved one year and then doubled the next?  It would be hard to plan on new purchases and if it got too low meet basic expenses like food and shelter.  That is OPEC's problem and reason that it wants to control prices. 

OPEC's prime function is to "coordinate their oil production policies in order to help stabilize the oil market and to help oil producers achieve a reasonable rate of return on their investments." However, in OPEC's forty years of existence they have generally not been able to control prices.  Recent market volatility and OPEC's abandonment of the price band concept have confirmed the group's failure to manage prices.  OPEC's hope is that increasing demand and shrinking undiscovered resources will continue to drive prices higher.

Please see the following websites for more information on OPEC.

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OPEC Official Website

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OPEC Revenues Fact Sheet

Go to the Topic Listing


OAPEC

OAPEC is the acronym for the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries. On January 9, 1968 three of the most conservative Arab oil states, Kuwait, Libya and Saudi Arabia, agreed to found OAPEC.  Their goal was to separate oil production and sale from politics in the wake of the halfhearted 1967 oil embargo associated with the Six Day War with Israel. Use of the oil weapon in the struggle against Israel had been regularly proposed at Arab Petroleum Congresses, but it took this war for it to happen. However, Saudi Arabia's oil production was up 9% for that year, and the main embargo lasted only ten days and was completely ended by the Khartoum Conference.

OAPEC was originally intended to be a conservative Arab political organization which by its restriction in membership to countries whose main export was oil would exclude governments seen as radical, like Egypt and Algeria. In addition they had a rule that the three founders' approval was necessary for new members to join. The original aim was to control the oil weapon and prevent its use from being swayed by popular emotion. Iraq initially declined to join, preferring to work under the umbrella of the Arab League, as it considered OAPEC too conservative. Equally, the three founders considered Iraq too radical and did not want it as a member. However, by early 1972, the criterion for admission changed to oil being an important, rather than principal source of revenue, Algeria, Iraq, Syria and Egypt were admitted.  The organization became much more activist.

In October 1973, Egypt and Syria attacked Israel in the Yom Kippur War. Ten days after the war started, on October 16, 1973, Kuwait hosted separate meetings of both OAPEC and the Persian Gulf members of OPEC (including Iran). OAPEC resolved to cut oil production 5% monthly "until the Israeli forces are completely evacuated from all the Arab territories occupied in the June 1967 war..." The embargo would last for five months before it was lifted in March 1974 after negotiations at the Washington Oil Summit. Its aftereffects, though, would linger throughout the rest of the decade. For the oil exporting countries, the embargo was the first sign of their ability to leverage their production for political gains. A number of them would now use this sense of control to renegotiate the contracts they had made with the companies that had discovered and exploited their resources. Ironically, though, the vastly increased revenues would prove addictive, and a unified OAPEC oil embargo was never again possible.

In 1979, Egypt was expelled from OAPEC for signing the Camp David Accords, but was readmitted a decade later.

Currently, OAPEC focuses on cooperation on oil development, collective projects and regional integration.

Please see OAPEC website for more information.

Go to the Topic Listing


National Oil Companies

National oil companies are the oil and gas organizations of sovereign nations.  They are part of the government and are typically found in major oil producing nations.  These companies are among the largest in the world and include Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Petroleos de Venezuela. S.A. and Petroleos Mexicanos. 

Please see Leading Oil and Gas Companies Around the World for information on the leading national oil companies.

  Go to the Topic Listing


World Oil and Gas Resources

Countries with the Largest Oil Reserves

Country Reserves at end
of 2007,
billion barrels
Share of
World, %
Reserve
Lifetime, Years
Saudi Arabia 264.2 21.3 69.5
Iran 138.54 11.2 86.2
Iraq 115.0 9.3 >100
Kuwait 101.5 8.2 >100
United Arab Emirates 97.8 7.9 91.9
Venezuela 87.0 7.0 91.3
Russian Federation 79.4 6.4 21.8
Libya 41.5 3.3 61.5
Kazakhstan 39.8 3.2 73.2
Nigeria 36.2 2.9 42.1
United States 29.4 2.4 11.7
Canada 27.7 2.2 22.9
Qatar 27.4 2.2 62.8
China 15.5 1.3 11.3
Mexico 12.2 1.0 9.6
Sub-total 1113.1 89.8  
Rest of World 124.8 10.2  
World 1237.9 100.0 41.6
OPEC 934.7 75.5 72.7
National Oil Companies 990.1 80.0  

Note: Countries in green are OPEC members.

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy

Countries with the Largest Gas Reserves

Country Reserves at end
of 2007,
trillion cubic feet
Share of
World, %
Reserve
Lifetime, Years
Russian Federation 1,576.8 25.2 73.5
Iran 981.8 15.7 > 100
Qatar 904.1 14.4 > 100
Saudi Arabia 253.0 4.0 94.4
United Arab Emirates 215.1 3.4 > 100
United States 211.1 3.4 10.3
Nigeria 187.0 3.0 > 100
Venezuela 181.9 2.9 > 100
Algeria 159.5 2.5 54.4
Iraq 111.9 1.8 > 100
Indonesia 105.0 1.7 45.0
Norway 104.6 1.7 33.0
Turkmenistan 94.2 1.5 39.6
Australia 88.6 1.4 45.0
Malaysia 87.4 1.4 40.9
Egypt 72.9 1.2 44.3
Kazakhstan 67.2 1.1 69.8
China 66.5 1.1 27.2
Kuwait 63.0 1.0 > 100
Sub-total 5,531.6 88.4  
Rest of World 731.7 11.6  
World 6,263.3 100.0 60.3

Note: Countries in green are OPEC members.

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy

Go to the Topic Listing


Per Capita Energy Consumption

Go to the Topic Listing


Other Developments

OPEC net oil export revenues expected to fall in 2014 and 2015 - EIA - 12/17/14

Go to the Topic Listing


Resources

For more information about the international situation, please click on the following links:

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Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries

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Energy Information Administration - OPEC Revenues

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Energy Information Administration - International Energy Data and Analysis

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BP Statistical Review of World Energy

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International Energy Agency

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Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries

Check out the following books to learn more about the international petroleum situation:

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Go to the Topic Listing


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